Sunday, June 29, 2008

Wonder Auto Technology

This is an exciting company, worth a look from any investor.

Wonder Auto Technology climbs to 52-week high on analyst upgrade
Will Atkinson Jan 03, 2008 4:44pm EST User Rating N/A
Wonder Auto Technology, Inc. (Nasdaq: WATG) shot to a 52-week high after investment bank Brean Murray reiterated a “buy” rating on the China-based maker of electrical auto parts. The investment firm also raised its price target on Wonder Auto to $16 from $13 to reflect increased demand and international market penetration.
Analyst Alex Xu said Wonder’s 2008 revenue guidance of $140 million is achievable and has room for upside.
In Thursday’s trading, WATG shares rose 8.05%, or $0.89, to $11.94. Over the last 52 weeks, shares have ranged from $4.50 to $12.21.

Friday, June 27, 2008

VMware - Strong Earnings

VMware shares climb sharply on strong earnings, outlook
By Associated Press April 23, 2008 Comments (0)
1 Recommendation
Shares of VMware Inc. climbed Wednesday, a day after the virtualization software company posted robust first-quarter profits and said it expects revenue to grow 55 percent in the second quarter.
The stock rose $2.82, or 4.9 percent, to close at $60.84.
BMO Capital Markets analyst Keith Bachman said in a note to investors that VMware's results remove "a wall of worry," given investors' anxiety ahead of the results. Bachman noted that the company's $438 million in revenue beat his estimates of $425 million, and said he expected continued results from the company's service segment.
Bachman maintained his 2008 outlook, but raised his 2009 profit forecast to $1.56 per share from $1.52. On average, analysts polled by Thomson Financial expect a 2009 profit of $1.52 per share.
Separately, Pacific Growth Equities analyst Kaushik Roy was similarly impressed by the company's quarterly results, but said Wall Street's full-year outlook on the Palo Alto, Calif.-based company may be too optimistic following management's second-quarter revenue outlook of $460 million.
Still, the analyst said the company was "off to a very good start" for the next quarter, and was taking positive steps in updating its product lines, especially in its desktop virtualization products.
"We suggest investors remain buyers of (VMware) stock at these levels," he said.
Virtualization software allows a single computer to operate like multiple machines, allowing companies to spend less on equipment and energy in their data centers.
The company had a blockbuster intial public offering in August in which its $29 opening price tripled in one month. It was the biggest technology IPO since Google went public in 2004.

Solid Investment Picks - VMware

Best. Investments. Ever.
By Rich Greifner June 25, 2008 Comments (0)
3 Recommendations
Quick: What's the investment vehicle of choice for more than 90 million Americans?
If you said "mutual funds," give yourself a gold star and head to the front of the cubicle.
Here's another quick one: Are funds so popular because, to pick up on our headline, they're the best investment vehicles ever?
Peaceful, easy feelingTo my way of thinking, the answer is yes -- or, more precisely, they can be.
The kinds of funds worth building your portfolio around make it a cinch to spread your bets across buttoned-down big boys such as IBM (NYSE: IBM), ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM), and Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER) -- long-haul market-beaters all.
The best also include racier fare such as Baidu.com (Nasdaq: BIDU) and VMware (NYSE: VMW). Both of those growth stocks come with above-average P/Es and projected growth rates in excess of 45%, as does Vivo Participacoes (NYSE: VIV), another go-go contender.
If you're looking for a no-brainer solution, funds make that a breeze, too -- and you won't have to pay up for the privilege, either. SPDRs (SPY), the S&P 500-tracking exchange-traded fund, sports an expense ratio of just 0.08%. Vanguard 500 (VFINX), a traditional mutual fund that also tracks the S&P, costs just 0.15%.
Here's the upshot, then: Well-chosen funds make light work of building a carefully calibrated portfolio. They're also the most convenient vehicles for investing in asset classes that may lie outside your "circle of competence," which is generally a good idea. Doing so can allow you to sleep peacefully at night, secure in the knowledge that folks who do understand, say, emerging markets and high-yield bonds, are busy building your nest egg.
Reality bitesThat said, when it comes to investing, mere convenience isn't enough. And while I'm a fund fan, I'm also a realist -- funds are also popular because they're ubiquitous. 401(k) plans, after all, are lousy with them -- with an emphasis on the "lousy." That goes double for the industry's typical entrant, a fund that likely requires shareholders to pay for the privilege of underperformance.
How do you separate the keepers from the duds in your plans -- or your brokerage's? Keep the following points in mind, and you'll go a long way toward doing just that:
With funds, you're really investing in the manager. Don't focus on past performance unless that track record belongs to the person who's currently calling the fund's shots.
Look for low price tags. With funds, the price you pay is a feature of the "product" itself. The more you pay, the worse your performance will be; the less you pay, the more cash you'll have compounding, as opposed to fattening the fund company's coffers.
Last but not least, favor funds with proven strategies and managers who "eat their own cooking" by investing their own moola alongside that of their shareholders.

XTO Acquires Bakken Shale

XTO Energy acquires Bakken Shale leases for $1.85 billion
Dallas Business Journal
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XTO Energy Inc., a Fort Worth domestic natural gas producer, said Wednesday that it will acquire producing properties and undeveloped acreage from Dallas-based Headington Oil Co. for $1.85 billion.
The deal, which includes $1.06 billion in cash and 11.7 million shares of XTO(NYSE: XTO) stock, is for 352,000 acres of Bakken Shale leasehold in Montana and North Dakota. Upon closing, the acquisition will add about 10,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day to the company's production base.

XTO Purchases Hunt Petroleum

XTO Energy is on a high-priced shopping spree, adding to its energy holdings at a time of unprecented petroleum prices. On Tuesday, it added Hunt Petroleum, founded by late oil tycoon Haroldson Lafayette Hunt Jr., for $4.2 billion and said it was looking for more assets.
XTO Energy (nyse: XTO - news - people ) will add 1.2 trillion cubic feet of natural gas to its portfolio--the equivalent of what it has in its proven reserves--with the cash-and-stock purchase of the privately held company, founded with the H.L. Hunt's poker winnings. XTO will pay $2.6 billion in cash.
"I'm pretty agnostic on the deal," said Subash Chandra, an analyst at Jefferies, "it wasn't overpriced, it wasn't underpriced." Still, this was a notable purchase, Chandra said. "If anyone wanted to scale up, they would have done it with Hunt Petroleum," he said.
In late-May, the Fort Worth-based oil XTO, formerly known as Cross Timbers, announced it had bought the oil producing properties and undeveloped land from Headington Oil for $1.8 billion. Now with the new assets, XTO has pushed its 2008 production growth target to a range of 28.0% to 30.0%, well ahead of its previous estimate of 20.0% to 23.0%.
Even though XTO shares started strong on Tuesday trading, they tapered off in the afternoon to $66.03, 2.5%, or $1.69, below Monday's closing price after the company said its spending spree wasn't over.
Chadra said XTO's spending is driven by two factors. First, the company has excellent collateral after 10 to 15 years of accumulating high quality assets. The second reason relates more broadly to the rest of the sector. Oil companies are moving to make deals before possible changes in tax law after the U.S. elections this fall.
The takeover may be added to the list of dramatic episodes within the entertaining Hunt family. In November, one of H.L. Hunt's great-grandsons sued his father and several other family members, claiming they conspired to exclude him from part of his inheritance because he opposed a plan to sell Hunt Petroleum.
The lawyer for great-grandson Albert Hill III vowed to fight the sale, calling the price too low. "Why would anyone dump the company at this price in this market? Unbelievable," said Hill's lawyer, William Brewer.

Commvault - Top Pick

The word “virtualization” has been much in the news these days, what with the blowout IPO last week of EMC’s (EMC) tracking stock for its VMware (VMW) software unit. And that’s caused a bump up again in the number of folks chasing anything with a patina of “virtualization,” a term used for the separation via software of files and documents from the physical hardware on which those assets are processed.
Such a piece of software exists at CommVault (CVLT), a company whose bread and butter has been archiving and securing data on collections of corporate disk drives.
The company’s new “Simpana” software supposedly makes it more of a “virtualization” company, in the sense that you can have your data copied to various collections of drives, so your data could be anywhere. Kind of like how VMware lets you run multiple operating systems irrespective of the underlying hardware (kinda, but not really the same thing).
At any rate, in a note Thursday morning, C.E. Unterberg Towbin analyst Gabriel Lowy, who has identified CommVault as a “virtualization” company in recent reports, says that his research shows strong interest in the Simpana product:
Arrow [Electronics (ARW), one of CommVault’s distributors] and inside sales both indicate that existing customers are rapidly looking to upgrade to the broader functionality and that there are “many, many evals” out in field. We continue to believe that with Simpana, CommVault can take this market.
He goes on to describe how the product is a “virtualization” product: “The Simpana 7.0 suite creates a virtual pool of searchable content from files, emails and attachments stored across separate backup using a web-based interface.” That’s important when companies get hauled into court and have to find their files in “discovery” phase of a case, no matter where the e-mail or document in question may be located.
Lowy also says that his checks indicate relatively good capital spending trends among CommVault’s customers in the current quarter: “Several sales calls, including one each to Dell (DELL) (~20% of CommVault’s sales) and Hitachi (~7% of sales) suggest good linearity with no signs of spending slowdown.
Lowy has a $27 price target on shares of CommVault.
Next Wednesday, CommVault will host its shareholder meeting, details here.
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Google - Still Going

There is a secret concerning high foreclosure rates that investors have yet to grasp. It's all about turning lemons into lemonade, something American consumers do so well. Analysts project 1 in 33 homeowners will face foreclosure over the next two years. These foreclosures will free up an additional $4 billion a month in consumer spending. Maybe this wave of foreclosures isn't so bad after all. If you eliminate the average monthly house payment by the standard 6 month foreclosure process then you can count on a $40 billion foreclosure stimulus being added to the economy. Maybe we should stop fearing a consumer collapse and start looking at the numbers.
Annual core retail sales are up 10.2% over the last three months. This data shows that those consumers who are supposedly 'strapped' are willing to take off the chains. We live in an era where disposable income is king. Americans feel more urgency to pay down credit cards than to make payments on a home that is underwater. The fear of foreclosure is quickly replaced by the freedom of additional spending money. This newfound money will provide thousands of dollars a month to those consumers struggling to pay the extra $100 a month on gas. There are three things that you can always count on: death, taxes, and the resiliency of the American consumer.
Further analysis into the numbers shows us exactly what this generation is unwilling to sacrifice from their budgets. Technology. Times have changed. Necessities have evolved. Those, like CNBC's Joe Kernen, who feel that consumers won't spend on cell phones or computers because of high gasoline prices are completely wrong. Modern demands have transformed tech from a cyclical gadget industry into an essential survival tool for everyday life. People are willing to foreclose on their house rather than lose access to social networking, email, video conferencing, text messaging, internet surfing, etc... Modern consumers would eat pancakes for breakfast, lunch, and dinner before they would get rid of their Blackberry or iPhone. The proof is in the fundamentals. The latest comes from Research in Motion's (RIMM) 100% revenue growth for the quarter! Amid a slowing economy tech earnings still shined with double digit growth in Q1 2008.
Jim Cramer wonders why tech goes up every time oil drops? Money has to flow somewhere and we are seeing that tech is next. Lets compare stock prices of tech's four horsemen in the current market low vs. March's low. On March 10th, Apple (AAPL) was at $119, today it's at $168. Google (GOOG) was at $413, now $528. RIMM was at $93, now $123. Amazon (AMZN) was at $63, now $76. When money exits the commodity market because of government regulations, it will relocate to high growth technology. Don't bet against the consumer, and don't bet against tech.

VMware - Worth the Hype

Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) and VMWare (VMW) Wednesday announced a deeper product collaboration going forward, offering to enterprises and service providers a single management and control approach to both physical and virtual software infrastructure stacks.Through the partnership, announced at the HP Software Universe event in Las Vegas, HP's Business Service Management products -- including HP Business Availability Center, HP Operations Center and HP Network Management Center -- will help automate the management of the VMware virtualization platform.Both the HP Discovery and Dependency Mapping products and HP Universal CMDB configuration data management suite will aid in discovery of virtualized environments for improved tracking and reporting of changes in VMWare virtualized envrionments.And HP's Business Service Automation capabilities -- including HP Server Automation Center, HP Client Automation and HP Operations Orchestration -- will assist in the oversight and operational upkeep of services running in VMWare-supported virtual infrastructure instances.HP and VMWare did not unveil any financial partnership news, but the two certainly seem chummy these days. HP clearly sees a huge market opportunity for helping to manage the complexity of virtualized platforms, given the need for enterprises to cut total costs through higher hardware utilization and the ability to dynamically and automatically match computer power supply with applications and storage demand.The two companies did outline bundling and packaging of their products, in that new software bundles will combine VMware's Infrastructure 3 software suite with the HP Insight Control Environment for additional automation benefits. The goal, said the companies, is to provide a "comprehensive and seamless physical and virtual platform management" capability set.“We’re expanding our relationship with VMware to jointly develop solutions that provide customers with comprehensive management of virtualized business applications running on the VMware platform,” said Ben Horowitz, vice president and general manager, of HP's Business Technology Optimization software, in a release.I was just having breakfast Wednesday with two systems architects from Seattle, who said they were exploring virtualization, including both VMWare and Xen hypervisors. They liked the potential benefits but were put off by the complexity of setting the stuff up and maintaining it. Their choices, they said, pretty much boiled down to consulting help or more automation in the software.Yes, says HP, to both.

Wonder Auto Technology: Driving Into China's Booming Auto Market

In mid February of 2007, Wonder Auto Technology (WATG.OB), announced record revenues and profits for its’ fourth quarter and fiscal year of 2006. Despite these results Wonder Auto has received limited attention from the investment community. It currently trades at a PE of 18 even though they are expecting profit growth to be in the neighborhood of 50% for 2007. For investors looking to get in on China’s booming auto market Wonder Auto is definitely worth a look.
Amy Cheung of The China Perspective talks to Wonder Auto’s Chairman Qingjie Zhao about their current and future growth plans as well as the state of the Chinese auto market.
The China Perspective [TCP]: What were the major factors driving Wonder Auto's growth in 2006? And what areas do you expect to be the primary growth drivers for 2007?
Qingjie Zhao [QZ]: The 2006 fiscal report we have recently released showed that sales revenues have seen significant growth in the past year. Wonder Auto’s two core products, starts and alternators, are the main areas of growth with 60% year-on-year jump.
There are two major factors constituting Wonder Auto’s growth: First, China’s auto industry and market have been growing rapidly to become the world’s second biggest auto market. In 2006, auto makers have produced around 7.2 million vehicles in the mainland, generating high demands for auto parts; Secondly, the company’s internal growth has surpassed the average auto parts industry growth rate. This is mainly a result of Wonder Auto’s accurate market positioning in accordance with changing market trends. Our starters and alternators with less than 1.5L capacity saw greater demands from small and midsize vehicles that have enjoyed increased popularity among middle class. In addition, compared with foreign auto makers from Germany, Japan and the US, our products are of high quality but comes with a relatively lower cost for auto makers.
As for 2007, Wonder Auto expects to generate more orders from our top 10 clients include Shenyang Mitsubishi and Beijing Hyundai. At the same time, we hope to realize more sales revenues from exports.
TCP: Chinese government prioritizes energy saving and limited pollution in their 11th Five Year Plan. How do Wonder Auto’s products fulfill these requirements?
QZ: Since Wonder Auto’s starters and alternators make no impact or difference on vehicle’s energy consumption or pollution level, the government’s energy-saving and anti-pollution objectives would not usher in adverse effects for us. As a matter of fact, Wonder Auto’s products have already specialized for vehicles of middle and low emission level. The new policy would offer great opportunities instead when the policy environment turn many auto makers and consumers to favor vehicles of less harmful emission.
TCP: Alternators and starters make up the vast majority of your total sales, with such good relationships in place with many major auto manufacturers in China are you planning on leveraging these relationships by possibly expanding your production line to include other types of auto parts?
QZ: At this stage, Wonder Auto has no plan to expand our product lines or other market segment. However, as the company grows bigger and retains the current growth rate, we may consider expanding our production line in the next few years.
TCP: Wonder Auto just won first run orders from Beijing Benz-Daimler Chrysler Automation and Nanjing MG Rover Motor. What do these contracts mean to your position in China?
QZ: We concluded the two contracts in the second half of 2006. As Beijing Benz-Daimler Chrysler targets at high-end market, we competed with several global competitors in addition to mainland auto parts makers for the contract; Nanjing MG Rover Motor places more focus on auto parts of larger size. The two contracts make Wonder Auto to compete with international auto parts makers and opened the window for the company to enter new market. This also proves that our products are able to meet higher product requirements which would help us to secure new clients especially more high-end clients from Europe and the US.
TCP: Apart from China, what are other markets that you operate in?
QZ: Wonder Auto considers strategic internationalization as an important part in our corporate strategy. While we have received contracts from Korea and Poland, we have successfully extended relations with an UK commercial vehicle maker. We are currently in talks with several international auto makers with the aim to explore cooperation possibilities and expand client base. We hope our exports would account for 30% of the total sales volume in three to five years.
TCP: What constitutes your market share in China’s auto parts market? Any concrete plans to expand this market share?
QZ: First of all, we secure our market position in China by positioning ourselves and adjusting our production and sales efforts according to market and consumer trends. Secondly, Wonder Auto is equipped with an internal research and development team led by six overseas experts whom possess respective understanding towards international market. Their technological and market knowledge of Japan, Korea and China are leveraged in our products. Thus our overseas competitiveness is enhanced; Moreover, we have paid great efforts in expanding and optimizing our supply chain. With good relations with suppliers, we are able to source materials locally to support efficient and cost-effective production.
To expand our market share, we plan to cultivate growth together with our clients whom act as windows to markets we have not yet stepped in. For example, establishing a long-term business relations with Beijing Benz-Daimler Chrysler not only enable us to grow by obtaining more domestic orders but also serve as a favorable platform to enter more top-end markets such as the US.
TCP: How would you characterize the Chinese, joint venture and foreign clients that you cooperate with in China? Do they demonstrate varied product needs because of their corporate backgrounds?
QZ: China’s auto market is divided into three camps of mainland local brands, Japan and Korea makers as well as those from Europe and the US. While local brands generated 1 million units in annual sales volume in 2006 and contributed 50% of Wonder Auto sales volume, Japan and Korea makers generated 1.5 million units in annual sales volume in 2006 and contributed 30% of Wonder Auto sales. Europe and US auto makers generate the highest sales volume but only 20% of Wonder Auto’s sales.
Their auto parts demands are resulted from differences in product prices, corporate positioning and cost. Foreign auto makers generally have much higher quality requirements than local auto makers. However, this is changing gradually with mainland makers striving to enter more high-end markets. Wonder Auto always supply products upon customer demands. We never say no to a customer request but we adjust our products and services accordingly. Beijing Hyundai, for example, is our major customer as we are their exclusive starter and alternator supplier in the mainland. We have a fulltime staff at Beijing Hyundai to coordinate product supplies and manage customer relations. This is the same case in Shenyang Mitsubishi.
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