Thursday, July 31, 2008

Francorp Client - LuluLemon Athletica

Lululemon's Next Workout
Can Christine Day broaden the yoga clothier's appeal?
by Aili McConnon
BW Magazine

Incoming Lululemon CEO Day and co-workers Chris Buck
Lots of chief executives talk about keeping an ear to the ground. Few do it. Even fewer do it literally. But on a recent Sunday in Vancouver, B.C., Christine Day, the incoming CEO of yoga apparel retailer Lululemon Athletica, was on her hands and knees in a fitting room hemming pants. That's standard operating procedure at Lululemon. Every worker, from the C-suite to the accountants to the design team, must spend at least eight hours a month working in stores—an unusual mandate for a retailer. It's a way to keep close to the company's carefully cultivated and well-heeled clientele: the burgeoning Yoga Class.
Serving that niche with a laser-like focus has paid off for the Vancouver retailer. In 2007, sales rose 85%, to $275 million; profits leapt 300%, to $31 million; and the company raised $344 million in an initial public offering. Lululemon fans shell out $92 for a pair of workout pants, compared with $60 at Nike (NKE) or $70 at Under Armour (UA), according to research firm ThinkEquity Partners. No wonder, then, that at most of its 86 warehouse-chic stores, Lululemon sells $1,710 worth of gear per square foot—about triple the rate of red-hot retailers Abercrombie & Fitch (AWF) and J. Crew (JCG). "It's the best growth story in retail today," says Paul Lejuez, a senior analyst at Credit Suisse (CS).
As Day takes over—her official start is June 4—Lululemon is at a precarious point. It plans to increase its U.S. store count from 38 to 69 this year, with a goal of 300 over the next few years. But inventory problems have crimped margins, since the company had to pay extra to ship out-of-stock items to stores by air. Amid worries over cash-strapped U.S. consumers, the stock price, which rocketed to 60 after going public at 18, has fallen back to 31. How Day manages the rapid growth will determine whether Lululemon fades away, like so many once-hip retailers, or becomes a lasting franchise.
Day most recently ran Asia-Pacific operations at Starbucks, which serves as both a growth template and a cautionary tale for Lululemon. "At Starbucks, we moved too quickly away from the authentic Italian espresso," she says. CEO Howard Schultz hired her in 1986 as his assistant. She took care of everything from bookkeeping to human resources and quickly moved up the management ranks. In his memoir, Schultz credits Day for her early insight that the coffee chain's stores should be designed as "sisters—each with an individual appearance, but clearly from the same family." In her most recent post, as head of Asia, Day oversaw a side of Starbucks' business that is still growing furiously even as U.S. stores slump.
Lululemon has been quietly growing since 1998, when it was founded by Dennis "Chip" Wilson, a Canadian entrepreneur who had previously founded a surf, skate, and snowboard company. After attending a yoga class, he found the cotton-polyester blends most people wore to the studio were uncomfortable and ill-fitting, and they collected sweat. He created a black exercise pant for women made of fabric that would wick away perspiration and fit well, too. In 2000, Wilson, still the company's design chief, opened a small design and retail space in Vancouver that doubled as a yoga studio. He created clothing during the day and tweaked it based on feedback from students who took yoga classes in the same space at night.
Linking with local gurus has been crucial. Before Lululemon opens a store in a new city, it approaches yogis or other fitness class teachers. In exchange for a year's worth of clothing, they become Lululemon "ambassadors," wearing the duds in front of students and giving the company design feedback. They also host students at private sales and free classes sponsored by Lululemon in unmarked lofts or condo spaces.
Now the pressure's on Day to expand Lululemon beyond yoga into sports such as running, swimming, and biking. Outgoing CEO Robert Meers, who previously led Reebok International, put together a management team of retail vets from the likes of Nike, The Limited (LTD), and Abercrombie (RL). Day, though, has been visiting stores and picking up tips from workers on the line. At regular breakfast meetings, she's fond of asking employees: "What's the most idiotic thing we did in the last 60 days?"
SIDESWIPED BY SEAWEED
Early on, Lululemon dodged a bullet. In November, The New York Times reported the company made false claims about a line of clothing infused with seaweed that purported to moisturize skin during exercise. Lululemon says third-party tests confirmed its garments contained a seaweed derivative, but it removed the claims from labels.
A more pressing challenge is inventory. Analysts say stores in coastal areas often run short of small sizes and those in the Midwest sell out of larger sizes. Day says the company has rolled out a new inventory-management system and will spend up to $1 million on a direct-sales Web site. Day is quite aware that, in a recession that's punishing other retailers, she'll have a brief window in which to fix the glitches. "You can't be complacent about blaming the economy," she says, "when it's probably some operating...issue you're trying to get right."
To watch a video interview with incoming Lululemon CEO Christine Day, go to businessweek.com/go/tv/lululemon.
Back to the Hot Growth Table of Contents
McConnon is a staff editor for BusinessWeek in New York.

Wednesday, July 30, 2008

Dunkin Donuts

By LAUREN SHEPHERD, AP Business Writer Wed Jul 30, 7:48 AM ETNEW YORK - Looking to entice those hungry for a healthier option, Dunkin' Donuts will begin offering a new slate of better-for-you offerings in August.The menu, which will debut in stores Aug. 6, will feature two new flatbread sandwiches made with egg whites. Customers will be able to choose either a turkey sausage egg-white sandwich or a vegetable one. Both will be under 300 calories with 9 grams of fat or less, the company said."We just felt it was important to provide some choice in our menu," said Will Kussell, president and chief brand officer.The new menu will be called DDSmart and will include all current and new items that either have 25 percent few calories, sugar, fat or sodium than comparable products or contain ingredients that are "nutritionally beneficial," the company said.Current products that will join the new sandwiches on the menu include a multigrain bagel and a reduced-fat blueberry muffin.Kussell said Dunkin' will continue to add products to the menu and is currently developing several new offerings, but would not disclose any details.Kussell said Canton, Mass.-based Dunkin' Brands Inc. will spend several million dollars marketing the new menu.A number of restaurants have added better-for-you options to their menus in the past few years to take advantage of a trend toward healthier eating."We're staying very true to our brand and very true to our heritage," said the company's executive chef Stan Frankenphaler. "We're just growing and evolving."

Tuesday, July 29, 2008

Starbucks

The knives are out at Starbucks
Commentary: Pace of sweeping overhaul continues
By MarketWatch
Last update: 2:47 p.m. EDT July 29, 2008
Comments: 25
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- The bloodletting continues at Starbucks Corp.
The beleaguered coffee-shop operator on Tuesday announced further operational changes, cheering shareholders as the stock climbed nearly 6%.

Its most recent changes include cutting 1,000 jobs, closing more than half of the stores in its Australian market and doing away with its chief operating officer position.
This comes in the wake of unveiling hundreds of store closings, revamping its reward-card program, installing new espresso machines, introducing a smoothie-like beverage, retooling its menu and overhauling its entertainment business.
Whew.
The overhaul is the handiwork of Chairman Howard Schultz who returned to Starbucks' center stage as chief executive earlier this year and is working to transform the troubled company back into a thriving business.
"I want to acknowledge from the outset some of the difficulty that many of you may be experiencing given the tough operating environment we are facing," Schultz wrote in a memo to employees released Tuesday afternoon. "But let me assure you that there has been a relentless focus on making the decisions necessary to put us all in a position to win."
Schultz said he believes the best days for Starbucks are ahead and called this "another defining moment" for the company. They've had a lot of defining moments lately.
Righting Starbucks (SBUX:
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SBUX 14.99, +0.76, +5.3%) is a daunting task, and Schultz stepped into the spotlight and ignited a turnaround -- it hasn't been pretty. The company, which was a high flyer in past years, has seen its shares fall more than 40% over the past year.
Doing nothing is never a successful strategy, as difficult as these "defining moments" might be -- particularly for those most directly impacted -- they are the kind of painful steps that could actually make a difference.
-- Angela Moore, U.S. commentary editor

FTC Report on Kid Food Marketing

Ahead of the Bell:FTC report on kid food marketing
Tuesday July 29, 6:20 am ET

FTC to report on how much food and drink makers spend on marketing to children
NEW YORK (AP) -- How much major food and drink makers spend on marketing to children will be the subject of a report released Tuesday by the Federal Trade Commission.
The FTC subpoenaed major food and beverage companies as part of a report prepared for Congress. A hearing was scheduled for 11 a.m. EDT in Washington, D.C.

The list of subpoenaed companies includes Burger King Holdings Inc., Campbell Soup Co., The Coca-Cola Co., General Mills Inc., Interstate Bakeries Corp., Kellogg Co., Kraft Foods Inc., Mars Inc., McDonald's Corp., Nestle USA Inc., PepsiCo Inc., Wendy's International Inc., YUM Brands Inc. and others.
Also Tuesday, the Council of Better Business Bureaus will release a compliance report on the progress of the Children's Food & Beverage Advertising Initiative, a self-regulation effort.
In addition to adopting internal standards for how to market to children, food makers have attempted to introduce healthier alternatives, with mixed results. Some new products include lower-calorie snack packs and cartoon-branded vegetables.

Save-A-Lot COO resigns

Mark Goodman resigned from his position as chief operating officer at Save-A-Lot.
He resigned July 25 to pursue other interests, according to a statement from the nation's fifth-largest supermarket chain.
Goodman, a former executive at Wal-Mart and McDonald's, started as COO at Save-A-Lot in 2007.
Minneapolis-based Supervalu (NYSE: SVU) is the parent company of the St. Louis-based Save-A-Lot and Shop 'n Save grocery chains.

Baskin Robbins

Baskin-Robbins Opens Denver for Franchise Sales; Plans More Than 60 New Stores
America's Favorite Neighborhood Ice Cream Shop Hosts Denver Franchising Seminar on August 5, 2008
Last update: 10:45 a.m. EDT July 28, 2008
CANTON, Mass., July 28, 2008 /PRNewswire via COMTEX/ -- Baskin-Robbins, America's favorite neighborhood ice cream shop, is rapidly expanding its Colorado footprint with today's announcement that Denver is now open for franchise sales. More than 60 new stores are projected over the next several years throughout Denver and the surrounding counties of Adams, Arapahoe, Boulder, Denver and Jefferson, among others.
Currently, Baskin-Robbins operates 13 locations in and around Denver and 25 stores across Colorado. The company plans to open more than 60 locations statewide in Denver and other large and small markets over the next several years. Baskin-Robbins will open more than 400 stores globally in 2008.
Baskin-Robbins' Denver launch is part of an aggressive growth strategy, which includes expanding in existing markets while entering new cities throughout the country. The company is actively seeking new franchisees willing to own and operate a minimum of three stores in Denver and the surrounding counties.
"As the Baskin-Robbins brand continues to develop in Colorado, we're now looking for franchisees in Denver with strong financial backgrounds to manage multiple stores and a passion for their local communities," said James Franks, national director of franchising, Baskin-Robbins. "We are excited about new franchisees joining our team who are ready to work on their business and not just in it. Our small business, small network approach allows owners to develop a strong presence in their market and play a vibrant part in the daily lives of people who live and work in and around Denver."
Baskin-Robbins offers franchisees a variety of store concepts including free standing stores, sites within shopping centers, kiosks and other retail environments. Furthering its commitment to its franchisees, Baskin-Robbins also offers a range of support systems including: complete training, site selection assistance, design and construction, marketing, and technology assistance.
To share information about franchising opportunities in Denver, Baskin- Robbins is hosting a franchising seminar at the Denver Marriott Tech Center on August 5, 2008 from 10:00 a.m. - 12:00 p.m. Included in the discussion will be the brand's new store design, new logo, marketing, training and site selection. To register for the event and learn more, visit the seminars and events link at www.baskinrobbins.com/FranchiseOpportunities/ .
Over six decades ago, Baskin-Robbins was founded by ice cream enthusiasts Burton "Burt" Baskin and Irvine "Irv" Robbins who shared a dream to create an innovative ice cream store that would be a neighborhood gathering place for families. Today, more than 300 million people visit Baskin-Robbins each year to sample the more than 1,000 flavors in its ice cream library, as well as enjoy its full array of frozen treats including ice cream cakes, frozen beverages and sundaes.
"Baskin-Robbins will satisfy a growing demand in Denver for high-quality ice cream, specialty frozen desserts and beverages," said Franks. "Over the past 62 years, Baskin-Robbins has become the brand of choice for consumers, and has consistently delighted them with our irresistible flavors and treats. We look forward to being an important part of the Denver community."
About Baskin-Robbins
Named the top ice cream and frozen dessert franchise in the United States by Entrepreneur magazine's 29th annual Franchise 500(R) ranking, Baskin-Robbins is the world's largest chain of ice cream specialty shops. Baskin-Robbins creates and markets innovative, premium ice cream, specialty frozen desserts and beverages, providing quality and value to consumers at more than 5,800 retail shops in more than 30 countries. Baskin-Robbins was founded by two ice cream enthusiasts whose passion led to the creation of more than 1,000 ice cream flavors and a wide variety of delicious treats. Headquartered in Canton, Mass., Baskin-Robbins is part of the Dunkin' Brands, Inc. family of companies. For further information, visit www.baskinrobbins.com .

Saturday, July 26, 2008

Schlotzsky's

This chain makes its bread selling sandwiches. Schlotzsky's operates a chain of more than 350 deli sandwich shops in Texas and about 35 other states. The eateries offer a selection of toasted sandwiches, wrap-style sandwiches, and paninis, along with gourmet pizzas, salads, and dessert items. Most locations are franchised; some include bakeries, coffee bars, and computers with free Internet access. The Schlotzsky's chain was founded in 1971 by Don Dissman. It is owned by private equity firm Roark Capital Group through that firm's FOCUS Brands affiliate.

Quizno's


INTERNATIONAL. Quiznos plans to open new restaurants in the Middle East this year as part of a push to sell its sub sandwiches in international and emerging markets.
President Dave Deno said the Denver-based chain signed development agreements with franchisees in Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates and plans to open locations in those countries by the end of the year.
In Saudi Arabia, the company will partner with Gulf Restaurant & Park Co to develop a total of 50 locations in the country, Deno said. Hasan Mohammed Jawad & Sons, the franchisee for the UAE, has also committed to 50 stores.
The company declined to disclose the financial terms of those deals. Deno would not specify the exact dates the agreements were signed, but said both were signed within the last few months.
Deno said the menu for the locations will mostly remain the same, but the company may offer different proteins to coincide with what consumers prefer, a tactic he said the company will also use for future development in Asia, Europe and other regions.
Deno said the company has been focused on its US business, but is now attempting to expand quickly into more countries.
"What we're finding is that our brand and the food that we serve travels very well internationally," he said.
He said the company is in discussions with possible franchise partners in Brazil, India and Singapore.
Eventually, he added, he wants to add China, Mexico and Australia to that list. Deno said the company, which is privately held, plans to open a total of 150 international locations in 2008 and 250 locations in 2009.

Arby's

Sandwich fans hungry for beef that's not in the form of a patty can turn to this company. Arby's Restaurant Group (ARG) operates the Arby's fast food eatery chain popular for its hot roast beef sandwiches. Arby's ranks as the #3 sandwich chain behind Subway and Quiznos with nearly 3,700 locations across the US and in a handful of other countries. In addition to roast beef sandwiches, its menu features chicken sandwiches, salads, and some dessert items. More than 1,100 Arby's locations are company-owned, while the rest are franchised. The chain was started in 1964 by brothers Forrest and Leroy Raffel. ARG is owned by Triarc Companies.

Wednesday, July 23, 2008

WATG Poised for Growth

Jul 10, 2008 (Zacks Investment Research via COMTEX) -- WATG Quote Chart News PowerRating

-- Wonder Auto Technology, Inc. (WATG) enjoys a strong market share in alternators and starters in China and is strategically positioned in the faster-growing sub-segments in these markets. The acquisitions of Jinzhou Hanhua and Jinzhou Karham are expected to reduce the cost of raw materials and components. However, weak product pricing, high customer concentration and a low tax rate force us to rate the stock a Hold with a target of $8.00. Wonder Auto has a strong share of 14.6% in a growing market. Besides expanding in the fast-growing Chinese market, the company is formulating plans to capitalize on an emerging export market opportunity. After the WTO entry, the automobile demand in China has grown 10-15% annually. The company has the potential to grow globally. Recently, the company developed 12 new models of starters and alternators for small engine automobiles ranging from 1.2 to 2.5 liter displacement. Wonder Auto will supply approximately 800,000 automotive alternators worth $32 million to a Shanghai-registered auto parts procurement centre over the next three years. Wonder Auto also signed a long-term supply agreement with a major European tier one auto parts producer, running through to 2011, with approximately $10 million in committed annual sales. In 2008, the management anticipates total sales revenue to rise 37% from the previous year to $140 million. Net income is expected to be $20 million, up 43% year over year. Read the full analyst report on WATG

Mexican Restaurants (CASA)

Mexican Restaurants, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the operation and franchising of Mexican-theme restaurants in the United States. The company operates casual dining restaurants under the names Casa Ole, Monterey's Tex-Mex Cafe, Monterey's Little Mexico, Tortuga Coastal Cantina, La Senorita, and Crazy Jose's; and a burrito fast casual concept under the name Mission Burritos. As of December 31, 2007, it operated 58 restaurants, franchised 18 restaurants, and licensed 1 restaurant in Texas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, and Michigan. The company was founded in 1974. It was formerly known as Casa Ole Restaurants, Inc. and changed its name to Mexican Restaurants, Inc. in 1999. Mexican Restaurants, Inc. is based in Houston, Texas.

Nathan's

Nathan's Famous annual net income up 18%
9th June 2008
By Staff Writer
Nathan's Famous, which operates and franchises fast food units, has reported a net income of $6.55 million, or $1.01 per share for the fiscal year ended March 30, 2008, an 18.3% increase compared to $5.54 million, or $0.87 per share for the fiscal 2007.
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Income from continuing operations was $4.85 million, or $0.75 per share for the fiscal year ended March 30, 2008, an 11.7% increase compared to $4.34 million, or $0.68 per share for the fiscal 2007.
Total revenue from continuing operations increased by 10.3% to $47.39 million for the fiscal year ended March 30, 2008, compared to $42.97 million in fiscal 2007.
For the fourth quarter ended March 30, 2008, income from continuing operations was $774,000 or $0.12 per share as compared to $824,000 or $0.13 per share for the same period of 2007. The company reported total revenue from continuing operations of $10.27 million, a 14.6% increase compared to $8.96 million for the same period of 2007.
Net income for the fourth quarter ended March 30, 2008 was $752,000 or $0.12 per share, as compared to $1.24 million or $0.19 per share for the same period of 2007.

Tuesday, July 22, 2008

Investing

The Best Stocks for the Next 10 Years
By Tim Hanson May 15, 2008 Comments (0)
5 Recommendations
The best stocks of the past 10 years all started small. That's documented fact, and it's something any investor putting together a portfolio should know.
But as many readers have pointed out, that fact is also backward-looking. These curious Fools want to know what the best stocks of the next 10 years will look like.
I'm no soothsayer, but I'll give it a college try ...Far be it for me to shun the lessons of history, so I'll go out on a limb and predict that the best stocks of the next 10 years will start small -- as in a market cap of a few hundred million or less. Of course, if we take the world's major exchanges as our oyster, that means we're looking at more than 11,000 prospects. Not a big help, I know.
Of course, any tiny company that aspires to greatness will need significant tailwinds. A recent business trip gave me quite a few insights into a true hurricane-force gale.
We're live from the center of the storm, BobSmall companies with big opportunities can be difficult to come by in the United States. That's because our economy is mature, and many industries are dominated by a handful of slow-growing, large-cap players. For instance, McDonald's (NYSE: MCD) plus Burger King (NYSE: BKC) plus Wendy's (NYSE: WEN) pretty much covers the market for fast burgers. And while energy drinks helped Hansen Natural (Nasdaq: HANS) grab market share in the beverage business, Jones Soda (Nasdaq: JSDA) and others are struggling to find niches alongside giants Coca-Cola and PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP). Any company that wants to make inroads in these industries must clear high hurdles.
Where large-cap industries are dominated by small-cap companiesThat's not so much the case in a little country called China. Maybe you've heard of it. For a long time, the Chinese economy was controlled by the state. And though it's becoming more liberal, many sectors remain closed to foreign firms. This creates an enormous opportunity for small Chinese companies to take hold in newly private niches. And while the China story has been going on for years, it's still young. As Roth Capital's Gordon McBean told us during our visit to the firm's office in Shanghai, "It's not the seventh inning. It still feels early."
But investing in Chinese small caps isn't a risk-free proposition.
Will you pay to play?Chinese stocks tend to be expensive. Excluding those with negative earnings, the average U.S.-listed China stock has a P/E of 30 and a P/B of 4. That's almost outrageous!
Maybe China's stocks deserve those multiples. As Roth Capital noted in its February report on the Chinese economy, China has the world's best economic growth record. More importantly, that growth is expected to continue as urban migration and the development of western China roll onward.
Not much of a riddleWhat do you get when you combine the world's fastest-growing economy, entrepreneurial small companies, and a political environment that effectively incubates these companies? A recipe for remarkable returns.
But don't go throwing money in blindly. That's how you'll get wiped out when growth slows and competition builds.
Instead, focus on finding the best-run small Chinese companies that are also operating within the widest niche market opportunities. Roth Capital's McBean has some tips:
Steer clear of companies with government-run ownership structures. They won't be entrepreneurial enough.
Don't invest in companies that compete against government-run companies. It won't be a level playing field.
Keep tabs on the five-year plans the government releases. The Chinese government is efficient when it comes to achieving these goals. Find the companies that will help the government make its plans happen.
Look for companies that will benefit from increasing consumer affluence. The Chinese are getting richer, and they're looking to spend on luxuries such as travel, designer clothes, and nice homes.

Monday, July 21, 2008

McDonald's

Posted: July 17, 2008, 9:10 AM by David Pett

The Street could be underestimating McDonalds Corp.'s earnings growth potential as the storied fast food retailer makes the turn into the second half of the year.
That's the opinion of UBS analyst David Palmer, who reiterated his "buy" rating on the stock and left his US$69 price target unchanged.
"While dividend increases will continue to support valuation, we believe return of investment capital gains and earnings per share upside should remain the key stock drivers in the second half of 2008 and beyond," Mr. Palmer said in a note to clients.
In particular, the analyst said certain EPS drivers are being underestimated by the consensus, including supply chain changes the company has made and greater general & administrative efficiency. He said McDonalds can also expect sales upside from new European kitchens and the launch of new beverages as the company rolls out iced coffees and teas across the U.S.
Mr. Palmer raised his second quarter EPS estimate from US85¢ to US87¢ on expectations of better margins and a slightly higher currency in the quarter. He forecasts June's same store sales growth of 2% in the U.S., 4% in Europe and 4% in Asia Pacific, the Middle East and Africa.
David Pett -->

Sunday, July 13, 2008

Starbucks

By Jennifer Martinez
LOS ANGELES,, July 11 (Reuters) - Starbucks Corp (SBUX.O: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) is preparing to launch a line of smoothies next week, according to advertising at stores in several U.S. cities.
Signs in at least four coffee shops in Los Angeles and Chicago said the smoothies, called "Vivanno Nourishing Blends," will hit stores on July 15. Employees at stores in New York, Washington and San Francisco also confirmed the launch of new smoothies next week.
Starbucks would not comment on it.
A Washington, D.C. store gave out samples, saying the drink will have 250 calories. The new smoothies come in two flavors, Orange Mango Banana and Chocolate Banana, according to a sign in a Los Angeles store.
"Starbucks hasn't had real meaningful innovation in its stores in the past couple of years," said John Owens, a restaurant industry analyst with Morningstar Inc. "(The smoothies) are one of several initiatives Starbucks has in place to breathe life into their new brands."
The new drinks will mean increased competition for smoothie chains such as Jamba Inc (JMBA.O: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), Owens said.
The smoothies are being rolled out as Starbucks is scrambling to increase sales at its U.S. coffee shops. Demand for the company's premium-priced coffee drinks has softened as consumers deal with a housing downturn and higher prices for food and energy.
Competitors like Dunkin' Donuts and McDonald's Corp (MCD.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) are also chipping away at Starbucks' business with cheaper espresso drinks and iced coffee.
To help revive profits, Starbucks said on July 1 it planned to close 600 poorly performing U.S. stores and cut up to 12,000 jobs. On a conference call that day, Chief Financial Officer Pete Bocian said Starbucks would be rolling out a line of smoothies nationwide in mid-July. (Additional reporting by Erin Zureick in Chicago, Lisa Baertlein in San Francisco, Martin Howell in New York and Diane Bartz in Washington) (Reporting by Jennifer Martinez in Los Angeles; editing by Nichola Groom)

Wednesday, July 9, 2008

VMware makes a Strategic Move

SAN FRANCISCO -- VMware's(VMW - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) new CEO sees the company not as a mere $2 billion revenue engine, but as a multi-billion-dollar software machine.
After the ouster of co-founder Diane Greene Tuesday, newly appointed Chief Executive Paul Maritz says he will build atop the groundwork laid by his predecessor.
Maritz describes expanding the virtualization software company's role to providing Internet-hosted computing services, also known as cloud computing, to its clients. Virtualization software enables corporate data centers to use server hardware more efficiently by allowing them to run multiple operating systems and software programs simultaneously.
By tapping bigger opportunities than it has to date, the company will give clients more flexibility "to meet their computing needs, more flexibility to use resources, both inside computer centers and outside in the cloud," he said.
Maritz became EMC's(EMC - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) chief of cloud computing after the acquisition of his startup, Pi Corp. Before that, Maritz ran several of Microsoft's(MSFT - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) flagship software brands before leaving the company in 2000 after 14 years.
Microsoft, which in June added virtualization software to its Windows Server 2008, is now seen as a threat to VMware's revenue stream. "I have a deep appreciation and respect for Microsoft," Maritz said. "But there's nothing magic there. The trick is to stay ahead of the competition," which VMware has done, he added.
"The irony of all this is that the person who developed some of [Microsoft's market-dominating] strategies is Paul Maritz," says Yankee Group software analyst Carl Howe. "He's the guy who's going to be on the other side of this. This was a conscious and carefully thought-out plan" on EMC's part, he adds. EMC is majority-owner of VMware.
Maritz describes the change of guard at VMware as a natural transition from the founding leadership to management that takes successful young companies to the next phase. "The board felt that, at this stage of the company's growth, it needed operational leadership," Maritz says.
EMC decided it was better to take a short-term hit to VMware's stock price in favor of greater potential long-term gain, says Howe. Although EMC will be able to spin off the rest of its stake in VMware in early 2009, VMware's move Tuesday suggests that won't happen, he added.
Howe interprets EMC's move as a statement of intent to hold on to VMware, "if for no other reason than valuation."
EMC may even have wanted to see VMware's stock price fall to lower multiples before the expiry of tax implications from a full sale of its stake in 2009, Howe suggests. That stake wasn't fully represented in EMC's stock price, making EMC a potential target for a leveraged buyout and full spinoff of VMware, enabling an acquirer to get EMC on the cheap, Howe says.
Shortly after VMware went public in August 2007, its price soared to $125 and remained near $100 for several months, while EMC's stock never fully registered the value of its 85% ownership of VMware. While VMware's price catapulted beyond its offering price of $29, EMC shares only briefly broke past $25.
Howe credits former CEO Greene with anticipating competitive threats from Citrix(CTXS - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr), Microsoft and others by shifting its revenue base away from its basic virtualization product -- now free -- to higher-priced management tools, such as VMotion, which lets IT managers move software programs to other servers while they're in use; schedulers; and distributed power management.
"Diane had set up a lot of the pieces to mount a good defense" against Microsoft, Howe says. "But EMC just decided that Paul was the right person to have in the leadership."
Maritz says Pi Corp., which was acquired in February by EMC, develops software tools that are complementary to virtualization, taking advantage of virtualization's scalable infrastructure.
After VMware warned Tuesday that 2008 revenue will come in below the projected 50% growth rate, the stock ended Tuesday down $13, or 24.4%. Shares were down 76 cents, or 1.9%, to $39.43 in recent Wednesday trading.
After a spate of analyst revisions Wednesday, VMware's one-year price target fell to $61, from $67.50, according to Thomson Reuters. Lehman Brothers reduced its price target to $41 from $75 and now expects full-year EPS, excluding items, of 99 cents. Wachovia dropped its 2008 EPS estimate to 95 cents, from $1.06. The EPS consensus estimate of analysts dropped by a penny to $1.03, although many analysts have not changed estimates.
Baird analyst Jayson Noland wrote Tuesday that some of VMware's channel partners reported a license growth rate for the second quarter of 22% year over year, well below revenue guidance "and possibly diluted by the sheer number of newly added VMW resellers."
Resellers "also believe the competition is lagging VMware technically," Noland wrote. "Our reseller input on VMware was positive in a tough overall quarter." Baird makes a market in shares of VMware.
But Noland raised concern that Greene's departure would prompt defections.
Greene had positioned herself as a Chinese wall and virtual sole point of communication between EMC and the management of VMware. With her replacement by EMC's hand-picked successor, the storage company could take a greater hand in running VMware.
EMC would be smart to resist meddling too deeply in software development, or risk an engineering brain drain.

Tuesday, July 8, 2008

Lifeway Foods

Julie Smolyansky stated that the company is accepting applications for individuals interested in becoming franchise partners for individual or multiple locations. Lifeway has engaged Francorp, the world's leader in franchise consulting, to develop their franchise program. For more information, email franchising@starfruitcafe.com or call 847-967-1010. About Lifeway Foods Lifeway is America's leading supplier of the cultured dairy product know as kefir and the country's only supplier of organic kefir. Lifeway Foods, recently named Crain's Chicago 49th fastest growing Chicago Companies and Fortune Small Business' 49th Fastest Growing Small Business, one of only 4 companies to ever be named to the list five straight years in a row. Lifeway's kefir products include regular and organic kefir, a soy-based version called SoyTreat, a new Indian variety known as Lifeway Lassi, organic whole milk kefir, and a children's line of organic kefir products called ProBugs(TM: 92.43, -0.74, -0.79%) packaged in a no-spill pouch. Lifeway also produces the La Fruta line of drinkable yogurt marketed in US Hispanic communities, a variety of cheese products and It's Pudding! organic pudding. SOURCE Lifeway Foods, Inc. http://www.kefir.com Copyright(C: 16.33, -0.07, -0.42%) 2008 PR Newswire. All rights reserved ********************************************************************** As of Thursday,07-03-2008 23:59, the latest Comtex SmarTrend� Alert, an automated pattern recognition system, indicated a DOWNTREND on 07-01-2008for LWAY @ $11.66. For more information on SmarTrend, contact your market data provider or go to www.mysmartrend.com SmarTrendis a registered trademark of Comtex News Network, Inc. Copyright � 2004-2008 Comtex News Network, Inc. All rights reserved.

VMware Controls 85% of the Virtualization Market

Virtual machine software is a hot commodity right now. Having created the market, VMware (NYSE: VMW) now commands one of the larger market capitalizations in the entire software industry. At $21 billion, it trails Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT), Oracle (Nasdaq: ORCL), and SAP AG (NYSE: SAP), while running neck-and-neck with Adobe Systems.
So of course, the traditional powerhouses want a piece of that pie, too. That's why Microsoft is stepping up its own virtual server release schedule, getting its Hyper-V management platform out about a month ahead of schedule. The product is already getting rave reviews, with some rags basically calling it a VMware killer.
Hyper-V was designed with experienced Windows administrators in mind, so the interface feels natural to IT workers with other experience in Microsoft products. There are also licensing advantages to signing up for Hyper-V support, which can end up saving thousands of dollars per physical server in installation and support costs -- assuming that your company runs mostly high-end Microsoft operating systems on every virtual server. Combined, these two benefits add up to a compelling virtual platform for Windows-heavy IT shops, where the somewhat Unix-flavored offerings from VMware would require new training or more staff.
Having worked in two large enterprise data centers myself, however, I'd like to point out that most large businesses have a diverse set of computing platforms, and the support staff to go along with them. Moving some of that melange onto VMware images should not be too hard for most of the big boys. In the small-business space, the picture changes, and Hyper-V's usability and cost advantages could drive some sales.
Given that VMware roughly holds around 85% market share in the virtual server sector, and it has both the technical chops and name recognition to keep the gravy train rolling, I'd be shocked to see Microsoft displacing it overnight. But it is good to see big players like the Redmond Raiders jumping in and growing the market a bit. After all, I think Hyper-V belongs in IT departments that never had a virtualization strategy before, rather than making converts out of established VMware fans. So the rumors of VMware's death seem to be greatly exaggerated.

VMware - Great Stock

VMware Helps Campbell Clinic Orthopaedics Virtualize Mission-Critical Applications and Reduce IT OverheadWednesday July 2, 8:00 am ET
Like Thousands of SMBs, VMware is Helping Campbell Clinic Save Big on Server-Related Expenses
PALO ALTO, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--VMware, Inc. (NYSE:VMW - News), the global leader in virtualization solutions from the desktop to the datacenter, today announced that Campbell Clinic Orthopaedics (Campbell Clinic), one of the country’s leading centers of orthopaedic teaching and practice, has deployed VMware Infrastructure 3 to virtualize its mission-critical applications and create a flexible, easily administered virtual infrastructure. VMware offers enterprise-class functionality in deployment sizes that fit the needs of small and midsize businesses (SMBs). The Campbell Clinic is one of thousands of SMBs that utilize VMware’s proven and reliable cost-effective solutions to optimize their existing IT investments. VMware provides the scalability and flexibility for customers to buy what they need today and evolve their virtualization solutions as their business needs grow.
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When its server infrastructure was due for a technology refresh, Campbell Clinic faced the choice of either replacing its servers entirely with physical boxes, or utilizing a combination of hardware and software to create a virtual infrastructure. Campbell Clinic selected the VMware Infrastructure 3 suite as the best solution for its virtualization needs.
“We’re primarily a Microsoft environment and we knew that Windows and Microsoft apps have a proven track record of running on VMware,” said Justin Lauer, IT Manager, Campbell Clinic Orthopaedics. “That made the selection process rather simple — we really didn’t have to spend too much time evaluating different virtualization vendors because VMware is so far ahead of the competition, in terms of the maturity of their product.”
With the help of VMware Partner Meridian IT, based in Deerfield, IL, Campbell Clinic was able to rapidly deploy the VMware Infrastructure 3 solution in just three days, providing a seamless transition from a physical to a virtual infrastructure. This enabled the company to immediately start virtualizing mission-critical Microsoft applications like Exchange, Sharepoint, and SQL Server. As an independent solutions company, Meridian IT (www.onlinemeridian.com) brings together the vast resources of the best manufacturers in the industry, to provide customers with an unparalleled range of choices and solution flexibility.
“The up-time and stability that VMware Infrastructure 3 provides for our applications is very impressive,” said Lauer. “Running applications in VMware virtual machines has improved performance tremendously. Our main patient records system runs better in a virtual environment than it ever did before because we’re able to allocate more resources to it.”
Virtualization of its mission-critical applications has allowed Campbell Clinic to consolidate its servers onto a relatively small number of ESX hypervisors and reduce its physical server count by 58 percent. This consolidation is poised to save Campbell Clinic more than $100,000 in hardware purchases, power and cooling costs, and administration time over the next three years. Just as importantly, though, is the reliability and stability that VMware Infrastructure 3 provides for its applications, particularly with regards to business continuity and disaster recovery.
“Business continuity and disaster recovery are important areas for any company, but especially those in the healthcare industry,” said Lauer. “VMware has allowed us to advance our business continuity and disaster recovery capabilities by leaps and bounds. We back up our VMware virtualized servers several times a day to an offsite location, so that in the event of a disaster, we can turn our mission critical servers on, and have our operations back up and running as quickly as possible. That kind of flexibility doesn’t just benefit our organization — it helps us provide a higher level of service to our patients.”
About VMware
VMware (NYSE:VMW - News) is the global leader in virtualization solutions from the desktop to the datacenter. Customers of all sizes rely on VMware to reduce capital and operating expenses, ensure business continuity, strengthen security and go green. With 2007 revenues of $1.3 billion, more than 100,000 customers and nearly 14,000 partners, VMware is one of the fastest growing public software companies. Based in Palo Alto, California, VMware is majority-owned by EMC Corporation (NYSE:EMC - News) and on the web at www.vmware.com.
VMware is a registered trademark of VMware, Inc. in the United States and/or other jurisdictions. All other marks and names mentioned herein may be trademarks of their respective companies.

Cramer Likes XTO

"There are companies that can benefit from higher oil prices," Jim Cramer told viewers of his "Mad Money" TV show Wednesday. "But they're not who you might think."
Cramer posed the question: "Why is it that while oil has risen from $100 to $130 a barrel, the large integrated oil companies have barely moved?"

While oil prices have jumped 30%, Cramer noted that shares of Exxon Mobil (XOM - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) rose only 1%. BP (BP - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) was up only 2.4% and Marathon Oil (MRO - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) was up only 1.6%.

Cramer says big oil just cannot take advantage of the higher oil prices because they either just can't drill for enough oil, or they expected oil prices to retreat and hedged their bets. Some signed contracts with foreign governments that backfired.

That hasn't been the case, he emphasized, with oil stocks that have natural gas exposure.
Once again proclaiming 2008 the year of natural gas, he provided a laundry list of stocks which are now up an average of 33.8%.

They include XTO Energy (XTO - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr), Southwestern Energy (SWN - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) and El Paso (EP - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr). Cramer owns all these stocks for his charitable trust, Action Alerts PLUS.

He also recommended Ultra Petroleum (UPL - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr), Apache (APA - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr), Anadarko (APC - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) and Chesapeake Energy (CHK - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr).

Cramer said all of these companies share a common theme: They are constantly on the move, acquiring assets and drilling for more and more oil and natural gas.
Cramer noted that typically, the ratio between oil and gas is 6:1. Using that historic ratio, natural gas could go as high as $23, but Cramer is sticking to his earlier estimates of just $16 for the commodity.